01.01.70

As we can see, the series of the most likely annual revenue falls between $70 billion and $200 billion, with the midpoint sitting at around $135 billion , or 2.8 times of consensus estimates of Amazon's annual receipts this year ($48 billion in 2011)!

We can reach the same estimate of Dangdang's interest in 2011 from another route. Assume that the company grows at compounded 70% annually from end of 2010 to 2021 (11 years), yield in 2021 will be $120 billion . Can the company deliver this kind of average annual gross income growth each year? I think the odds are heavily in the management pair's and shareholders' favor. Dangdang delivered compounded 73% annual interest growth from 2008 to 2010. The company has expanded its warehouses and yield lines at a fast pace this year, and based on articles and discussions I have decipher on websites in China, the company is generating a lot of enthusiasm and positive experiences among online shoppers in China. The discredit recognition and word of mouth praise for Dangdang are multiplying in China.

Source: Seeking Alpha

by admin

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